JUNE 14, 2022
Chief Economic Adviser (CEA) V Anantha Nageswaran on Tuesday said India would become a USD 5 trillion economy by 2026-27 and USD 10 trillion by 2033-34. Addressing an event organised by UNDP India, Nageswaran said India is relatively better placed than other emerging economies.
“On the face of it, looks optimistic, even ambitious, but if we get to USD 5 trillion by 2026-27.
“We are now USD 3.3 trillion, it is not such a difficult target to reach. Then if you simply assume 10 per cent nominal GDP growth in dollar terms, then you get to USD 10 trillion by 2033-34 and another doubling with the same rate,” he said.
In 2019, Prime Minister Narendra Modi envisioned to make India a USD 5 trillion economy and global powerhouse by 2024-25.
The CEA said there is a need for climate tagging of the budget.
“GDP is the worst measure of economic activities but for all others. Because everything else you take, comes with their own limitations and serious subjectivity,” he noted.
The World Bank has cut India’s economic growth forecast for the current fiscal to 7.5 percent as rising inflation, supply chain disruptions, and geopolitical tensions taper recovery.
India’s economy grew 8.7 percent in the last fiscal (2021-22) against a 6.6 percent contraction in the previous year.
In its third monetary policy of 2022-23, the Reserve Bank retained its GDP growth forecast at 7.2 percent for the current fiscal but cautioned against negative spillovers of geopolitical tensions and a slowdown in the global economy. Nageswaran said India will have to start investing in getting the right supply of metals and minerals required to fuel the energy transition.