Biden leads Trump by 6 points in first post-announcement poll

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APRIL 26, 2019

Joe Biden leads President Trump by six points, according to the first poll published after the former vice president officially announced his candidacy Thursday.

The April 25-26 Hill-HarrisX survey of 1,000 registered voters found that 43 percent said they would choose Biden while 37 percent said they would pick Trump. Fifteen percent of respondents said they were unsure and 5 percent said they would vote for another candidate.

Biden’s 6-point lead was outside the poll’s 3.1 percent sampling margin of error.

The former vice president has been consistently competitive with Trump in public opinion surveys for several months before he officially declared his intention to become the Democratic Party’s nominee.

In the survey, Trump had his strongest support among older voters. He led the former vice president by a slim 43 to 42 percent margin among voters over the age of 50.

Biden did his best among voters who were between 35 and 49. Forty-nine percent of respondents in this age group said they would vote for Biden while only 32 percent said they would pick Trump. Another 15 percent said they were unsure.

The former vice president also led Trump among respondents between the ages of 18 and 34 but his lead was much smaller since many more voters in this age group said they did not know which candidate they would pick.

Thirty-nine percent of younger respondents said they would back Biden in a general election matchup while 33 percent said they would choose Trump. Nearly one-fourth, 23 percent, said they didn’t know how they would vote while 5 percent said they would support another candidate.

In a Hill-HarrisX survey conducted earlier this month, Biden was judged by voters of all stripes as having the greatest chance of ousting the GOP from the White House. Seventy-five percent of Democratic registered voters said he had at least “some chance” of beating Trump while 64 percent said the same about the odds of Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.).

Biden and Sanders were the only two Democratic hopefuls that a majority of party loyalists said had at least some chance of winning.

Biden’s consistently strong numbers against Trump in hypothetical match-ups don’t bode well for the president, Bill Schneider, a professor at George Mason said Friday on “What America’s Thinking.”

“What Joe Biden offers in this campaign is normalcy, something people are desperate for after now three years of Donald Trump,” Schneider told host Jamal Simmons. “They want a normal president. They want a president who knows how to do things, who has long experience, and knows how the government works, which Trump does not.”

The former vice president earned endorsements of several Democratic senators within his first week of campaigning but he was also was attacked by Justice Democrats, a progressive political action committee.

“Joe Biden stands in near complete opposition to where the center of energy is in the Democratic Party today. Democrats are increasingly uniting around progressive populist policies like Medicare for All, a Green New Deal, free college, rejecting corporate money and ending mass incarceration and deportation,” Alexandra Rojas, the group’s executive director, said in a statement.

On Thursday, Politico reported that Trump has been quietly expressing concern about his ability to defeat Biden even as he was publicly deriding the former vice president as “Sleepy Joe” on Twitter.


Courtesy/Source: The Hill

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